This space is devoted to articles selected by myself and team members that for the most part give the reader the ‘non-establishment’ view of a large variety of topics. In this day of ‘managed news,’ it has become difficult to get true news of value, mostly things hidden by the national media, or not given more than cursory coverage. Unfortunately, in this ‘politically correct’ world, and controlled news, we must now go to foreign news TV to find out what is really going on in the world. Our goal is to provide thinking people everywhere with many interesting news items not normally seen. We draw from websites and news outlets we highly respect, and at times, give our candid views as well. I hope you find it useful and entertaining.
ABOUT BERT DOHMEN:
Bert Dohmen’s forecasts and analysis are read by the top business leaders and investors world-wide. Dohmen’s firm, Dohmen Capital Research, is now celebrating its 41st year. That experience gives the firm an incredible insight of how markets truly work, not what Wall Street tells you in the media. He has never worked for a Wall Street firm.
Bert Dohmen is a serious investment market analyst. You’ve probably seen him on national TV such as CNBC, CNBC ASIA, Neil Cavuto on FOXNEWS, CNN, CHINA TV AMERICA, or read his views in Barron’s, the Wall Street Journal, Investor’s Business Daily, Business Week, etc.
He is a professional trader, investor, and analyst. As founder of Dohmen Capital Research group and newly establish Dohmen Strategies, LLC, he has been giving his analysis and forecasts to traders and investors for over 40 years. What he notices in the markets in his own trading each day, he relays to his subscribers. He does not manage money for others.
Bert Dohmen looks behind the scenes of the global investment markets. He analyzes cross-market relationships, global correlations, and changes in credit market data which give him superb clues as to what is likely to happen in various markets ignored by other analysts.
In the early 1970’s he formulated his “Theory of Liquidity & Credit” which basically stated that the major factors determining stock market trends are not the typical fundamentals mentioned by the vast majority of analysts, such as earnings and sales, but the change in “liquidity” and “credit availability.”
If liquidity and credit availability increases, the major stock market trend will be up. When liquidity and credit decrease, the major stock market trend will be down.
To get exact market timing, Bert Dohmen enhances this with advanced technical analysis. Using mathematical models that combine the change in volume and price, it is possible to measure the change in money flows, either into or out of the market or specific stocks. That’s the only way exact turning points in the markets can be recognized. Only a change in the ‘supply-demand’ relationship can change the price of an investment.
BERT DOHMEN’S CREDIBILITY
Bert Dohmen has been called “a leading Fed Watcher” by the Wall Street Journal. Federal Reserve Board actions can be important game changers when it comes to liquidity and credit. Accurately predicting Federal Reserve action in the late 1970’s allowed him to predict double-digit inflation, and that the prime rate would go over 20%.
After Paul Volcker became Fed chairman, Dohmen predicted an enormous credit crunch, causing a severe bear market in stocks, gold and silver, and a very deep recession. It came true.
He predicted a 20 year bear market in gold and silver in 1981, surprising many of his followers. He was right, as the next bull market didn’t start until 2001.
His degree is in chemistry, with minors in physics and math. Thus, reading charts was what he liked. He discovered technical chart analysis when he was at Graduate School at the university. There was only one book on this discipline in the library. He understood immediately why the different chart patterns in the markets worked. There was a simple logic that he loved.
Bert Dohmen’s analysis often goes totally contrary to accepted “Wall Street wisdom.” He is the original Fed Watcher. His predictions of Federal Reserve policy have been astounding. He considers Fed policy the most important fundamental factor. He warns that Fed policy has often been totally wrong, exacerbating the negative trends.
Bert Dohmen is the publisher of the WELLINGTON LETTER, an award-winning investment newsletter with an impressive record of over 40 years. He is also the author of the #1 best seller book “Prelude to Meltdown,” in addition to “Financial Apocalypse” and “The Coming China Crisis.“ In 2016, he wrote the follow up book “The China Crisis is Here” analyzing the incredible turmoil China is experiencing right now, which could cause a financial tsunami to be felt by the global markets and economies.
During 2007, Dohmen wrote: “You can prosper during the coming, devastating bear market. It will make the bear market of 2000-2002 look like a walk in the park.” “Buy and Hold” is dead! It was always stupid.
The bursting of the technology and internet bubbles of 2000 caused the greatest stock market crash since 1929, erasing over $9 trillion of wealth. Yet his subscribers prospered. Yes, they even made big profits.
But Dohmen is not a “perma-bear.” During the 2002-2007 bull market, his subscribers once again had the opportunities to make big profits. But nothing is forever. That bull market top (Dow Jones Industrials) was on October 11, 2007. The Oct. 15, 2007 issue of the WELLINGTON LETTER had a subhead: “The Eye of the Hurricane.” It declared that the bull market top had been made.
Wall Street didn’t declare the bear market until the summer of 2008, almost 9 months later. Dohmen’s subscribers were way ahead of the pack. During 2007, Bert Dohmen predicted that 2008 would see an immense global financial crisis, the worst since the 1930’s, brought on by all the shenanigans by Wall Street and the large banks. In fact, he felt so strongly he did something he never wanted to do: write a book. It was “PRELUDE TO MELTDOWN.”
In the book, he predicted that the global financial system would go to a near-meltdown state in 2008. That forecast was widely disregarded, but Bert Dohmen was right.
By early 2009, it was estimated that total wealth destruction globally was around a fantastic $64 TRILLION. That’s almost five times the annual GDP of the U.S.
However, Dohmen’s clients prospered, taking full advantage of the bear market strategies developed over more than four decades. Bert Dohmen has always said that bear markets bring greater opportunities than bull markets, because stocks decline faster than they rise.
Furthermore, the bearish side is not as crowded. It’s easy to make money during a bull market. As they say, “the tide lifts all boats.” However, for over 40 years Bert Dohmen has shown his clients how to profit during devastating bear markets. That sets Dohmen apart from the majority of analysts. You too can learn how to enjoy bear markets and crashes…with Bert Dohmen.
Many consider Bert Dohmen the “The Independent Market Authority.” He doesn’t manage money, his firm doesn’t sell stocks or other investments, and without any conflicts of interest, he can say “sell” when his work gives the signals.